USDCAD Midweek Reversal: Forex Chart Markups, 17 August 2026
Technical Analysis

USDCAD Midweek Reversal: Forex Chart Markups, 17 August 2026

F

Forexia Academy

August 21, 2026
12 min read
1 views

The USDCAD midweek reversal of 18 August 2026 started from a Tuesday high at 1.39099 and ran 178 pips to Friday's low at 1.37318, where a W formation at the New York open ended the move. Gold, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD also turned midweek, with gold reversing 308 pips from Wednesday's low. The week produced 8 textbook setups, 3 partials and five weekly cycles.

The week in brief

  • Markets: the seven forex majors and gold (XAUUSD, counted at 1 pip = $1), on 15-minute and 1-hour candles.
  • Daily setups: 8 textbook and 3 partial.
  • Weekly cycle: 5 of 8 markets turned midweek (GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD and XAUUSD).
  • Setup of the week: USDCAD on Friday, W formation, 5 of 8 on confluence: 45 pips that day, 45 on the week.
  • News in sync with a stop hunt: CAD BoC Consumer Price Index Core (YoY), CAD Consumer Price Index (YoY).

USDCAD midweek reversal: how to read these chart markups

If this is your first markup, read it backwards. We are not asking where price will go. We are asking where the crowd has put its orders, because retail education puts them in the same places every week: stops above the highs, stops below the lows, breakout orders just past both. On each chart the blue box is the Asian range, the bands of red crosses are retail stop losses, the hatched zone is the stop hunt, and the header shows the pips the reversal made. How to Read a Forex Chart Markup explains every mark.

The week at a glance: confluence ranking

Forex confluence ranking, week of 17 August 2026: every daily setup scored on eight confirmations

Every daily setup of the week on one page, best first. The score is a tally of the eight confirmations the method lists, and the last column says what the rest of the week did with each level. USDCAD leads with 5 of 8.

The weekly cycle: induction, trap, reversal

The weekly cycle is the bigger picture behind every daily setup: an induction trend early in the week, the high or low of the week on Tuesday or Wednesday, then the reversal. We only draw it when the week actually turned, and each chart carries a checklist of which parts held. The idea is laid out in How to Read a Forex Chart Markup.

XAUUSD weekly cycle, week of 17 August 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

Gold (XAUUSD) · 308-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 4323.93 in Wednesday's session (Tuesday 21:00 New York), and the reversal ran 308 pips to 4631.94 by Friday. 3 of 4 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend, Sun to Tue ranged instead of trending.

USDCAD weekly cycle, week of 17 August 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

USDCAD · 178-pip reversal. The trap printed the high of the week at 1.39099 on Tuesday 14:30 New York, and the reversal ran 178 pips to 1.37318 by Friday. 2 of 4 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend, Sun to Mon ranged instead of trending.

AUDUSD weekly cycle, week of 17 August 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

AUDUSD · 113-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 0.70665 on Wednesday 00:45 New York, and the reversal ran 113 pips to 0.71799 by Friday. 3 of 4 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend, Sun to Tue ranged instead of trending.

GBPUSD weekly cycle, week of 17 August 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

GBPUSD · 156-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 1.35194 on Tuesday 03:15 New York, and the reversal ran 156 pips to 1.36755 by Friday. 3 of 4 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend, Sun to Mon ranged instead of trending.

NZDUSD weekly cycle, week of 17 August 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

NZDUSD · 127-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 0.58601 in Wednesday's session (Tuesday 21:00 New York), and the reversal ran 127 pips to 0.59876 by Friday. 3 of 4 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend, Sun to Tue ranged instead of trending.

No weekly cycle chart for EURUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF: those markets did not make a midweek high or low and then reverse by at least 1.25 average daily ranges.

Setup of the week: USDCAD W formation, 21 August 2026

USDCAD midweek reversal: USDCAD W formation, 21 August 2026: chart with the Asian range and retail stop losses

USDCAD spent the Asian session in a 29-pip range between 1.37583 and 1.37871. London then broke the low of that range by 24 pips, to 1.37345 at 06:45 New York, taking Thursday's low (1.37553) on the way: the breakdown the crowd sells. Price pulled back to a neckline at 1.37434, then ran a second leg to 1.37318 at 08:00 New York, 3 pips past the first leg. That second leg is the stop hunt. It took the stops resting below the first leg and trapped everyone who sold the new low. From there price reversed 45 pips to 1.37772 in 2h 45m, back inside the Asian range.

Now read it in reverse. At each of those prices, whose orders were waiting?

Where the retail stops were

  • Buyers' stops below the Asian low, 1.37583: taken by the first leg.
  • Stops below Thursday's low, 1.37553: taken by the first leg.
  • Sellers' stops above the neckline, 1.37434: taken as the reversal broke it.
  • Sellers' stops above the Asian high, 1.37871: not reached.

The trade. The method buys against the breakout, on the second leg at the low of the day (1.37318). The stricter trigger, the first 15-minute close back inside, came with 9 pips of risk to the extreme and 36 pips to the high of the day, about 1 to 4.0. The method skips anything under 1 to 3, so from that trigger this one qualifies. These numbers are measured after the fact from 15-minute candles.

Confirmations: 5 of 8. It had a second-leg stop hunt, a hunt at a session open, the previous day's level taken, the high or low of the week and induction from the week's open. Missing: a clear Asian range, high-impact news in sync and a Tuesday or Wednesday date. It is the low of the week.

The rules for this pattern are in How to Read a Forex Chart Markup. For another W formation, on GBPUSD, see GBPUSD midweek reversal, week of 6 July 2026.

Textbook setups, day by day

A setup is textbook when the reversal clears the whole Asian range, or runs at least three quarters of the pair's average daily range. The daily cycle behind all of them, Asia consolidating, London breaking out and the reversal after, is covered in How to Read a Forex Chart Markup.

EURUSD M formation, 17 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · EURUSD · M formation (43 pips). The second leg took the stops above the first leg at 1.16141 (04:30 New York); price reversed 43 pips, back inside the Asian range. Confluence 2 of 8. Wednesday traded back through it.

USDCHF W formation, 17 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · USDCHF · W formation (45 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 0.80717 (04:30 New York); price reversed 45 pips, back inside the Asian range. Confluence 2 of 8. Wednesday traded back through it.

USDCAD W formation, 17 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · USDCAD · W formation (33 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 1.38443 (10:15 New York); price reversed 33 pips, through the whole Asian range. High-impact news in the same candle: CAD BoC Consumer Price Index Core (YoY), CAD Consumer Price Index (YoY). Confluence 1 of 8. Wednesday traded back through it.

AUDUSD New York stop hunt, 18 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Tuesday · AUDUSD · New York stop hunt (37 pips). New York took the stops above the Asian high at 0.71195 (09:30 New York); price reversed 37 pips, through the whole Asian range. Confluence 4 of 8. Wednesday traded back through it.

XAUUSD New York stop hunt, 20 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Thursday · Gold (XAUUSD) · New York stop hunt (90 pips). New York took the stops below the Asian low at 4450.36 (08:00 New York); price reversed 90 pips, through the whole Asian range. Confluence 1 of 8. The low held for the rest of the week.

EURUSD London stop hunt, 21 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Friday · EURUSD · London stop hunt (43 pips). London took the stops above the Asian high at 1.17115 (05:00 New York, 1 pips through Thursday's high); price reversed 43 pips, through the whole Asian range. Confluence 3 of 8. It was the high of the week.

GBPUSD Both sides hunted, 21 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Friday · GBPUSD · Both sides hunted (57 pips). London took the stops above the Asian high at 1.36755 (05:00 New York, 16 pips through Thursday's high); price reversed 57 pips, through the whole Asian range. Then the other side was hunted at 10:30 New York, 5 pips under the Asian low. Confluence 3 of 8. It was the high of the week.

Partial setups: the structure without the follow-through

These printed the structure, but the reversal stalled inside the Asian range. They are worth studying for exactly that reason: the trap was real and the payoff was small.

GBPUSD London stop hunt, 17 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · GBPUSD · London stop hunt (36 pips). London took the stops above the Asian high at 1.35710 (03:30 New York, 9 pips through Friday's high); price reversed 36 pips, back inside the Asian range. Confluence 3 of 8. Wednesday traded back through it.

USDCAD W formation, 20 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Thursday · USDCAD · W formation (40 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 1.37553 (06:15 New York); price reversed 40 pips, back inside the Asian range. Confluence 2 of 8. Friday traded back through it.

USDJPY W formation, 21 August 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Friday · USDJPY · W formation (70 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 158.354 (05:00 New York); price reversed 70 pips, back inside the Asian range. Confluence 3 of 8. The low held for the rest of the week.

Daily and weekly confluence, pair by pair

Each chart pins a pair's daily setups on its hourly chart for the week. The solid line is the move that day, the dashed line is how far it ran before the level was traded back through, and a gold band marks a weekly reversal. The table under each chart ticks the confirmations.

EURUSD confluence chart, week of 17 August 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

EURUSD. 2 setups, best 3 of 8 (Friday, London stop hunt at the high). No midweek reversal.

GBPUSD confluence chart, week of 17 August 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

GBPUSD. 3 setups, best 3 of 8 (Friday, London stop hunt at the high).

USDJPY confluence chart, week of 17 August 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

USDJPY. 1 setup, best 3 of 8 (Friday, W off the low). No midweek reversal.

USDCHF confluence chart, week of 17 August 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

USDCHF. 1 setup, best 2 of 8 (Monday, W off the low). No midweek reversal.

AUDUSD confluence chart, week of 17 August 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

AUDUSD. 1 setup, best 4 of 8 (Tuesday, New York stop hunt at the high).

USDCAD confluence chart, week of 17 August 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

USDCAD. 3 setups, best 5 of 8 (Friday, W off the low).

XAUUSD confluence chart, week of 17 August 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

Gold (XAUUSD). 1 setup, best 1 of 8 (Thursday, New York stop hunt at the low).

What this week teaches about reverse price action

The same week shows the cycle from both ends. Tuesday's high on USDCAD was the trap: a 32-pip run above Monday's high that pulled in breakout buyers. Friday's W at the low was the mirror image, taking the stops of everyone who had sold the reversal late. One level takes the buyers, the other takes the sellers, and the range between them is the week. Reading price action in reverse means asking, at every extreme, who just got trapped and where their stops are now.

On the news itself: the event gives the crowd its reason, and the chart shows where the orders already were.

Frequently asked questions

What was the best forex setup in the week of 17 August 2026?

By confluence, USDCAD on Friday: a W off the low that scored 5 of 8. It moved 45 pips that day and 45 on the week. It was the low of the week.

Was there a midweek reversal in the week of 17 August 2026?

Yes, on 5 of the 8 markets we track: GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD and Gold (XAUUSD). The largest was Gold (XAUUSD), 308 pips from the low of the week at 4323.93.

What is the midweek reversal?

The midweek reversal is the turn in the weekly cycle. The first days of the week trend one way (the induction), the high or low of the week prints on Tuesday or Wednesday (the trap), and price reverses through Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

How is the confluence score worked out?

Each daily setup gets one point for each of eight confirmations: a clear Asian range, a second-leg stop hunt, the hunt at a session open, taking the previous day's high or low, high-impact news in sync, forming on Tuesday or Wednesday, being the high or low of the week, and price being induced into it from the week's open.

Related chart markups

Learn to read the chart this way. The Forexia Academy courses cover the Asian range, M and W formations and the weekly cycle step by step. Browse the courses.

These chart markups are made after the fact, for study. They are not signals and not trade advice. Candles: Dukascopy. Economic calendar: FXStreet. All times are New York. Stop-loss positions are the method's reading of the structure, not order-book data.

#forex chart markups
#USDCAD midweek reversal
#stop hunt
#W formation
#reverse price action
#Asian range
#midweek reversal
#USDCAD
#GBPUSD
#EURUSD
#USDCHF

Share this post

Related Posts