USDJPY W Formation: Forex Chart Markups, 13 July 2026
Technical Analysis

USDJPY W Formation: Forex Chart Markups, 13 July 2026

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Forexia Academy

July 17, 2026
13 min read
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A USDJPY W formation on Tuesday 14 July 2026 scored 7 of 8. The second leg hunted the stops under the first at 08:30 New York, in the same candle as US CPI, and 161.601 became the low of the week. Price rallied 69 pips that day and 94 on the week. Elsewhere the dollar pairs had already turned at Monday's session break, giving six weekly cycles, 13 textbook setups and 5 partials.

The week in brief

  • Markets: the seven forex majors and gold (XAUUSD, counted at 1 pip = $1), on 15-minute and 1-hour candles.
  • Daily setups: 13 textbook and 5 partial.
  • Weekly cycle: 6 of 8 markets turned midweek (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD and NZDUSD).
  • Setup of the week: USDJPY on Tuesday, W formation, 7 of 8 on confluence: 69 pips that day, 94 on the week.
  • News in sync with a stop hunt: USD Consumer Price Index (MoM), Consumer Price Index (YoY), Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM), Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY); USD Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY); USD Retail Sales (MoM), Retail Sales Control Group.

USDJPY W formation: how to read these chart markups

A quick key for new readers. These charts use reverse price action, which is reverse psychology applied to the chart: the textbook breakout is treated as the trap, not the trade. The Asian range (blue box) is where retail marks support and resistance. The retail stop losses (red crosses) rest just beyond it. The stop hunt (hatched zone) is price collecting them, and the pips figure in the header is the reversal that followed. Start with How to Read a Forex Chart Markup.

The week at a glance: confluence ranking

Forex confluence ranking, week of 13 July 2026: every daily setup scored on eight confirmations

Every daily setup of the week on one page, best first. The score is a tally of the eight confirmations the method lists, and the last column says what the rest of the week did with each level. USDJPY leads with 7 of 8.

The weekly cycle: induction, trap, reversal

The weekly cycle is the bigger picture behind every daily setup: an induction trend early in the week, the high or low of the week on Tuesday or Wednesday, then the reversal. We only draw it when the week actually turned, and each chart carries a checklist of which parts held. The idea is laid out in How to Read a Forex Chart Markup.

GBPUSD weekly cycle, week of 13 July 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

GBPUSD · 216-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 1.33417 in Tuesday's session (Monday 17:00 New York), and the reversal ran 216 pips to 1.35579 by Wednesday. 4 of 4 textbook checks held.

NZDUSD weekly cycle, week of 13 July 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

NZDUSD · 121-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 0.57415 in Tuesday's session (Monday 17:15 New York), and the reversal ran 121 pips to 0.58630 by Wednesday. 3 of 4 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend, Sun to Mon ranged instead of trending.

USDCHF weekly cycle, week of 13 July 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

USDCHF · 120-pip reversal. The trap printed the high of the week at 0.81513 in Tuesday's session (Monday 20:15 New York), and the reversal ran 120 pips to 0.80314 by Thursday. 4 of 4 textbook checks held.

AUDUSD weekly cycle, week of 13 July 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

AUDUSD · 111-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 0.69102 in Tuesday's session (Monday 17:00 New York), and the reversal ran 111 pips to 0.70210 by Wednesday. 4 of 4 textbook checks held.

EURUSD weekly cycle, week of 13 July 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

EURUSD · 107-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 1.13752 in Tuesday's session (Monday 17:00 New York), and the reversal ran 107 pips to 1.14825 by Wednesday. 3 of 4 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend, Sun to Mon ranged instead of trending.

USDJPY weekly cycle, week of 13 July 2026: induction, the midweek trap and the reversal on the 1-hour chart

USDJPY · 94-pip reversal. The trap printed the low of the week at 161.601 on Tuesday 08:30 New York, and the reversal ran 94 pips to 162.545 by Thursday. 4 of 5 textbook checks held; the miss: no induction trend toward the trap, Sun to Mon ran the other way.

No weekly cycle chart for USDCAD and Gold (XAUUSD): those markets did not make a midweek high or low and then reverse by at least 1.25 average daily ranges.

Setup of the week: USDJPY W formation, 14 July 2026

USDJPY W formation, 14 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

USDJPY spent the Asian session in a 24-pip range between 162.228 and 162.468. London then broke the low of that range by 18 pips, to 162.052 at 04:30 New York: the breakdown the crowd sells. Price pulled back to a neckline at 162.281, then ran a second leg to 161.601 at 08:30 New York, 45 pips past the first leg and 4 pips through Monday's low (161.645). That second leg is the stop hunt. It took the stops resting below the first leg and trapped everyone who sold the new low. From there price reversed 69 pips to 162.286 in 6h, back inside the Asian range.

Now read it in reverse. At each of those prices, whose orders were waiting?

Where the retail stops were

  • Buyers' stops below the Asian low, 162.228: taken by the first leg.
  • New stops below the first leg, 162.052: taken by the second leg.
  • Stops below Monday's low, 161.645: taken by the second leg.
  • Sellers' stops above the neckline, 162.281: taken as the reversal broke it.
  • Sellers' stops above the Asian high, 162.468: not reached.

The trade. The method buys against the breakout, on the second leg at the low of the day (161.601). The stricter trigger, the first 15-minute close back inside, came with 49 pips of risk to the extreme and 19 pips to the high of the day, about 1 to 0.4. The method skips anything under 1 to 3, so from that trigger this one does not qualify. These numbers are measured after the fact from 15-minute candles.

Confirmations: 7 of 8. It had a clear Asian range, a second-leg stop hunt, a hunt at a session open, the previous day's level taken, high-impact news in sync, a Tuesday or Wednesday date and the high or low of the week. Missing: induction from the week's open. It is the low of the week.

The rules for this pattern are in How to Read a Forex Chart Markup. For another W formation, on USDCAD, see USDCAD W formation, week of 8 June 2026.

Textbook setups, day by day

A setup is textbook when the reversal clears the whole Asian range, or runs at least three quarters of the pair's average daily range. The daily cycle behind all of them, Asia consolidating, London breaking out and the reversal after, is covered in How to Read a Forex Chart Markup.

EURUSD London stop hunt, 13 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · EURUSD · London stop hunt (68 pips). London took the stops above the Asian high at 1.14457 (04:15 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

GBPUSD London stop hunt, 13 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · GBPUSD · London stop hunt (69 pips). London took the stops above the Asian high at 1.34114 (04:15 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

AUDUSD London stop hunt, 13 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · AUDUSD · London stop hunt (36 pips). London took the stops above the Asian high at 0.69492 (07:30 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

NZDUSD M formation, 13 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · NZDUSD · M formation (44 pips). The second leg took the stops above the first leg at 0.57880 (09:00 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

XAUUSD London stop hunt, 15 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Wednesday · Gold (XAUUSD) · London stop hunt (64 pips). London took the stops below the Asian low at 4017.16 (04:00 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

USDJPY Both sides hunted, 15 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Wednesday · USDJPY · Both sides hunted (53 pips). The second leg took the stops above the first leg at 162.421 (06:15 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range. Then the other side was hunted at 14:15 New York, 7 pips under the Asian low.

EURUSD W formation, 15 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Wednesday · EURUSD · W formation (77 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 1.14059 (08:00 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

USDCAD M formation, 15 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Wednesday · USDCAD · M formation (53 pips). The second leg took the stops above the first leg at 1.40768 (08:00 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

USDCHF M formation, 15 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Wednesday · USDCHF · M formation (81 pips). The second leg took the stops above the first leg at 0.81142 (08:15 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

USDJPY London stop hunt, 16 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Thursday · USDJPY · London stop hunt (56 pips). London took the stops below the Asian low at 161.981 (03:15 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

USDCAD W formation, 16 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Thursday · USDCAD · W formation (48 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 1.40099 (09:30 New York); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

XAUUSD New York stop hunt, 17 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Friday · Gold (XAUUSD) · New York stop hunt (64 pips). New York took the stops below the Asian low at 3959.49 (09:00 New York, 10 pips through Thursday's low); the reversal went through the whole Asian range.

Partial setups: the structure without the follow-through

These printed the structure, but the reversal stalled inside the Asian range. They are worth studying for exactly that reason: the trap was real and the payoff was small.

USDCAD W formation, 13 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Monday · USDCAD · W formation (35 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 1.41246 (07:30 New York); the reversal went back inside the Asian range.

AUDUSD New York stop hunt, 16 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Thursday · AUDUSD · New York stop hunt (22 pips). New York took the stops above the Asian high at 0.70121 (10:30 New York); the reversal went back inside the Asian range.

AUDUSD London stop hunt, 17 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Friday · AUDUSD · London stop hunt (21 pips). London took the stops below the Asian low at 0.69656 (05:00 New York); the reversal went back inside the Asian range.

NZDUSD London stop hunt, 17 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Friday · NZDUSD · London stop hunt (24 pips). London took the stops below the Asian low at 0.58246 (05:00 New York); the reversal went back inside the Asian range.

GBPUSD W formation, 17 July 2026: 15-minute chart with the Asian range, stop hunt and retail stop losses

Friday · GBPUSD · W formation (34 pips). The second leg took the stops below the first leg at 1.34259 (06:45 New York); the reversal went back inside the Asian range.

Daily and weekly confluence, pair by pair

Each chart pins a pair's daily setups on its hourly chart for the week. The solid line is the move that day, the dashed line is how far it ran before the level was traded back through, and a gold band marks a weekly reversal. The table under each chart ticks the confirmations.

EURUSD confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

EURUSD. 2 setups, best 4 of 8 (Wednesday, W off the low).

GBPUSD confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

GBPUSD. 2 setups, best 2 of 8 (Monday, London stop hunt at the high).

USDJPY confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

USDJPY. 4 setups, best 7 of 8 (Tuesday, W off the low).

USDCHF confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

USDCHF. 1 setup, best 6 of 8 (Wednesday, M off the high).

AUDUSD confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

AUDUSD. 3 setups, best 2 of 8 (Thursday, New York stop hunt at the high).

USDCAD confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

USDCAD. 3 setups, best 5 of 8 (Thursday, W off the low). No midweek reversal.

NZDUSD confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

NZDUSD. 2 setups, best 4 of 8 (Monday, M off the high).

XAUUSD confluence chart, week of 13 July 2026: daily setups pinned on the weekly cycle

Gold (XAUUSD). 2 setups, best 4 of 8 (Wednesday, London stop hunt at the low). No midweek reversal.

What this week teaches about reverse price action

CPI at 08:30 is the most watched minute of the month, which makes it the most useful minute for a stop hunt. USDJPY had already put in a first leg under the Asian range. Buyers who caught the first bounce had their stops just below that low, and sellers were waiting for the data to confirm the breakdown. The release took out the low by a few pips, filled both groups, and reversed. The news gave the crowd its confirmation at the exact moment the liquidity was needed.

On the news itself: the event gives the crowd its reason, and the chart shows where the orders already were.

Frequently asked questions

What was the best forex setup in the week of 13 July 2026?

By confluence, USDJPY on Tuesday: a W off the low that scored 7 of 8. It moved 69 pips that day and 94 on the week. It was the low of the week.

Was there a midweek reversal in the week of 13 July 2026?

Yes, on 6 of the 8 markets we track: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. The largest was GBPUSD, 216 pips from the low of the week at 1.33417.

What is a W formation in forex?

A W formation is the mirror image of an M, at a low. Price breaks below the Asian range, bounces to a neckline, then makes a second leg slightly under the first low. The second leg takes the stops under the first low and traps breakdown sellers. The method only trades a W off the low of the day.

Why do stop hunts happen on news releases?

A scheduled release brings the most orders into the market at a known minute. Price is often already sitting next to a level with stops behind it, and the release supplies the volume to take them. The timing of the event matters more than the number.

Related chart markups

Learn to read the chart this way. The Forexia Academy courses cover the Asian range, M and W formations and the weekly cycle step by step. Browse the courses.

These chart markups are made after the fact, for study. They are not signals and not trade advice. Candles: Dukascopy. Economic calendar: FXStreet. All times are New York. Stop-loss positions are the method's reading of the structure, not order-book data.

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#USDJPY W formation
#stop hunt
#W formation
#reverse price action
#Asian range
#midweek reversal
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