EUR/USD buy signal, 22 October 2026: stopped, no target
Stopped, no target flagged 22 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC · COT level hunt
In brief. On 22 October 2026 the bot flagged a buy on EUR/USD at 1.11937 with a stop at 1.11173 (76 pips) and four targets. It met 6 of 11 checks. Stopped out at 1.11173 before TP1 (-76 pips).
The signal as sent
| Instrument | EUR/USD, buy |
| Flagged | 22 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC (10:45 New York) |
| Day of the week | Thursday |
| Entry | 1.11937 |
| Stop | 1.11173 (76 pips) |
| Target 1 | 1.12319 (38 pips) |
| Target 2 | 1.12701 (76 pips) |
| Target 3 | 1.13465 (153 pips) |
| Target 4 | 1.14229 (229 pips) |
| Checks met | 6 of 11; confluence score 3 |
What happened next
Stopped out at 1.11173 before TP1 (-76 pips).
| Time | Event |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC | Stopped out at 1.11173 before TP1 (-76 pips). |
This one lost. It is in the library for the same reason the wins are: the ledger records every setup the bot flagged, before knowing how it ended.
The checks, one by one
| Met | Clear Asian range | Asian range 29 pips, 40% of the 71-pip average daily range. |
| Met | Second-leg stop hunt (W) | First leg to 1.11926, pullback to 1.12099, then a second leg 4 pips past it: a W off the low. |
| Not met | Hunt at a session open | The extreme printed at 10:15 New York; the window is the first 90 minutes of London or the first two hours of New York. |
| Met | Yesterday's low taken | Yesterday's low 1.12140 was taken by 26 pips. |
| Not met | High-impact news in sync | No high-impact release for either currency within 15 minutes of the extreme. |
| Not met | Tuesday or Wednesday | It formed on Thursday; the method expects the high or low of the week on Tuesday or Wednesday. |
| Not met | Low of the week | The low of the week so far is 1.11834, set earlier in the week. |
| Not met | Induced from the week's open | The extreme sits 15 pips below the week's open of 1.12038; it counts from 36 pips below. |
| Met | Deep hunt | The hunt ran 39 pips past the Asian low, 55% of an average daily range. |
| Met | Other dollar pairs hunted the same way | GBPUSD, NZDUSD, XAUUSD were at a fresh extreme of the day the same way for the dollar in the hour before the signal. |
| Met | Against the speculator crowd (COT) | Large speculators are crowded short: 100/100 on their three-year range, against this trade. |
News around the signal
- HCOB Composite PMI, HCOB Manufacturing PMI, HCOB Services PMI (EUR): Due 16h 45m after the signal.
- HCOB Composite PMI, HCOB Manufacturing PMI, HCOB Services PMI (EUR): Due 17h 15m after the signal.
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, S&P Global Services PMI (USD): Due 23h after the signal.
Timestamp and hash
The hash is a SHA-256 of the fixed fields of the signal: id, pair, side, time, entry, stop and targets. Change any of them and the hash changes. The database took it when the signal was recorded.
a7589a699a56be58b5a2246e6f8101758752cc00e8c3b9e6cf4e090afd1bc918
The numbers on this page produce this hash, computed in your browser.
The database took this hash 386 hours after the signal. This entry was recorded afterwards, so the hash shows the numbers are unchanged since then; it does not show they were published before the outcome. The string that was hashed: v1|EURUSD|1792680300|-1|EURUSD|buy|1792680300|1.11937|1.11173|1.12319,1.12701,1.13465,1.14229
Frequently asked questions
Was the buy signal on EUR/USD on 22 October 2026 profitable?
Stopped out at 1.11173 before TP1 (-76 pips).
More on the method: Stop hunt in forex · Liquidity sweep · weekly chart markups · the ledger.
Candles and charts: Dukascopy mid price via the signal bot's own renderer. Not trade advice; trading leveraged products can lose more than you put in. All times are given in UTC, and New York where the method uses it.